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Does Atambayev stake his all?

Omurbek Tekebayev, Sadyr Zhaparov, Raikan Tologonov, Bektur Asanov, Kubanychbek Kadyrov may have new neighbors in the cells of GKNB pretrial detention center.

Investigators of the State Committee for National Security (GKNB) and the Prosecutor General’s Office have recently been working in the Stakhanov’s way, day and night. The arrests of the opposition politicians, which began in the spring of 2016 after the detention of Asanov and Kadyrov, continued in February and March 2017.

In the near future, several former members of the interim government and ex-deputies of the Parliament may be also detained.

Ata Meken cleanup

The real prospect of being placed into GKNB pretrial detention center primarily threatens the closest associates of the leader of Ata Meken party Omurbek Tekebayev — Bolot Sher (Sherniyazov) and Turatbek Madylbekov. They, like Raikan Tologonov, may be charged in the criminal case on looting in 2010.

Ex-deputy of Parliament Bolot Sher recently made the most popular among the Kyrgyz politicians «a number one» haircut.

The investigators are putting pressure on all of my assistants to testify against me.

Bolot Sher

It can not be excluded that the pressure on other members of the Parliament from the opposition party — Aida Salyanova and Almambet Shykmamatov- will also increase. It is possible that they can change the comfortable hall of the Parliament to narrow cells of the pre-trial detention center.

Interim government cleanup

During one of the last meetings with the heroes of the April Revolution, President Almazbek Atambayev hinted that he had serious compromising evidence against some members of the interim government.

The former president of the transitional period Roza Otunbayeva, the curator of all power structures of the interim government Azimbek Beknazarov, the head of the executive office of the interim government Emilbek Kaptagaev and the chairman of the State Committee for National Security in 2010 Keneshbek Dushebaev may came in view of the investigative bodies.

Experts believe that the authorities will be afraid of placing ex-head of Kyrgyzstan Roza Otunbayeva in the pre-trial detention center.

But they will unlikely show such compassion for her close associates — Beknazarov, Kaptagaev and Dushebaev. A criminal case can be, however, filed against them for the exhortation of the ex-president of the transition period.

Apparently, fearing repressions, the «bulldozer of the revolution» recently prefers not to appear in Bishkek and spends almost all of its time in a small homeland — in the village of Kara-Suu, Aksy district.

SDPK cleanup

The Prosecutor General’s Office and the State Committee for National Security in recent days drew attention to politicians from the president’s entourage.

Investigative bodies conduct check of the leader of SDPK faction Isa Omurkulov. Criminal cases were brought against the chairman of the State Registration Service Taiyrbek Sarpashev and MP from the SDPK Muzaffar Isakov.

The authorities are unlikely to please the politicized public with the arrests of well-known Social Democrats. Most likely, Omurkulov, Sarpashev and Isakov will get off with a slight shock.

Farewell, the old guard

In November 2016, Almazbek Atambayev, when congratulating journalists on a professional holiday, said for the first time that he would «take the old guard of politicians with him.»

During his visit to Brussels in February, the President raised this issue again. And he shared his opinion that at the end of the year (before the presidential elections) he would take with him «many of the envious politicians.»

It seems that the power structures understood the idea of ​​the President literally. The cleanup of opposition politicians and Atambayev’s disliked allies is in full swing.

If the process continues at the same pace, none of the revolutionary companions of the head of state will remain at liberty after some time.

Peaceful transfer of power is important

Increased arrests of politicians and the initiation of criminal cases against them are not accidental. There is a full-scale preparation for the presidential elections, which are to be held in November.

Those who are able to organize protest rallies are primarily removed from the political arena.

Kabay Karabekov

Will tough actions ensure peaceful transfer of power? As experts believe, the opposite effect is quite possible. There can be a situation in which neither the government nor the opposition can control the situation.